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Fetsum: The opposition camp under examination IIIB

Fetsum: The opposition camp under examination IIIB Special guest: The ELF Party I discussed the ELF party in the last article and this is a continuation of that material and hopefully the last one as far as

Fetsum: The opposition camp under examination IIIB
Special guest: The ELF Party
I discussed the ELF party in the last article and this is a continuation of that material and hopefully the last one as far as this party is concerned.
Sarah: “We need to do more research into each one of these groups and see what they stand for. Strong and blind nationalism can breed fragmentation because we all need to do research [for] one [t]hat brings us together and see if we can compromise. It seems that one of the things the opposition has inherited from EPLF/PFDJ’s is ‘no compromising’ arrogant mind set. Just because we are fighting for justice, it does not mean that we have the right to decide for our people. We are not in any position to talk, decide or fight about now. All we need to do is free the people and give them/us a chance to talk and discuss and decide what our future should be. We should stop being control freaks? It is killing the opposition camp”
Zufana: “A resistance movement can’t achieve much without a high dose of confidence, enthusiasm, and belief in its ability to succeed. In the case of Eritrea, the opposition’s lack of confidence has its origins in hgdef’s vicious, cruel, and sustained propaganda against it which the latter unfortunately seems to have internalized over the years so much so that the regime need not do anything anymore because the opposition is doing a marvelous job all by itself.
Meretse Asmelash: “Sister Genet, Eritrea is a country which belongs to every one of us. I’m sorry to say that but I think all these old and new organizations are a done deal. Zero mission accomplishedIf they want to keep their names so be it but what they should realize is it is outdated.
Genet-orginal: “Dear Meretse Asmelash Thanks for the info. “Zero mission accomplished” Precisely! If they want to be known by name only, they will only diservice our people. Coming out as oppositions and going for more than 15 years, without any tangible outcomes is questionable. I feel everyone of us have responsibility to help sort out the mess. After all, it is everbody’s problems now. Answring the question of “WHO ARE THE OPPOSITIONS?” to me is the best way to start. Thanks”
Comment: Political parties periodically amend or modify their programs according to changes in society but our parties keep on changing names for whatever may be in their minds. You may select the sexiest name for your group but you cannot be a legitimate political party without substance. The last two Eritreans see Zorro mission accomplished by the imaginary elements within EDA but assuming 15 years since their static existence as political parties without any documentation mathematically translates into pulling the struggle back to (-15) years in psychological time. We should then maximize our collective effort to correct this problem and compensate the damage done all these years, so that we can start from ZERRO. I hope every element in the resistance understands this emergency situation into acting up in unison to either fix the EDA or trash it out of the way! EDA must react by openly admitting its problems to get another chance of survival. It has to prove from now on that it can represent the society through action and open communication and transparency. This, I think is also time sensitive for Eritreans!
As you know we have tried hard to respect the EDA in the past. We have openly defended it from many Eritreans that gave up hope from, expecting some change as a result. EDA has, however, refused to cooperate by ignoring our messages. I don’t think they read us; they seem addicted to isolation and fruitlessness. Their creativity appears to have dropped to the point of nothingness through years of mental stagnation: the mind has rusted as a result of inactivity that I sometimes imagine immobile and silent dolls around a table when I think of the EDA politicians. You sit down for ever without any productivity and yet you are not ashamed of yourself enough to get out of the way. I don’t understand how they confront the humiliation for uselessly sitting this long within a society that once highly respected Eritreans and in a country where massive Eritrean people and refuges insecurely reside. The EDA is identical to the Eritrean regime in that they both don’t believe in communicating with the people, no documentation to show and they park on the society without any tangible input. A brother puts it as ደምበ ተቓውሞ፡ ጉዕዞ መርከብ ብዘይ ኮምፓስ: get me out of that ship before I end up in Chechnya!
In my last article, I discussed the ELF Party within the EDA that was diagnosed to be as “healthy and sane” as the seven parties we discussed earlier. So far, all of them have few things in common: they are Eritreans for democracy theoretically and have no political/national program to show justifying their POLITICAL PARTY status. Going on with the ELF;
What does a decent society need to develop and live peacefully?
Decent society’s priority (DSP) =Independence + freedom;
You either have independence or not, this makes Independence a variable element (yes or no) in the equation
Likewise, you either have freedom or not, this makes Freedom a variable element (yes or no) in the equation as well
Freedom is, however, a function of independence and this relationship makes independence prerequisite for freedom. You can have independence without freedom but you cannot have freedom without independence (Eritreans are my case in point here)
Freedom should then be a derivative of or dependent on independence.
Therefore; Freedom = d(Independence)/dt. (Mathematically it is a derivative of the changes in the quality of Independence in relation to the society per time)
[by substitution];  DSP = Independence + d(Independence)/dt
Our question of freedom was premature before our independence. We really could not have rationally expected freedom from the armed struggle at priority level of the relationship because the immediate question was independence and its immediate consequence, dictatorship.
Once we achieved independence, however, the question of our freedom becomes our utmost priority. Independence should be YES then in the equation. Again by substitution we get;
DSP = Independence + d(Independence)/dt                                                                      
DSP = YES + d(YES)/dt
Independence disappears from the equation after its actuality in the Eritrean society and only its derivative remaining there ending up being a decent society’s priority.
Decent Society’s priority = Yes + d(Independence)/dt [by substitution] = Freedom
In conclusion, our priority is freedom not independence though our independence did not qualitatively improve the Eritrean life because it produced dictatorship. We don’t want a liberation front to liberate us from ourselves but the “liberators” have the right to liberate themselves from whatever.
I declare every Eritrean that supported the struggle at any stage of its survival was a direct or indirect member of the ELF; so were the supporters of EPLF including me because they were related as a mother and child with the same destination; the Eritrean Independence. I declare both fronts had no ambition to democratize the country after independence similar to all armed struggles for liberation in the third world. They had no democratic vision for independent Eritrea and this is easy to prove: they did not expose it to the people. Neither the regime nor yesterday’s or today’s ELF has had a visible political program to date to convince us otherwise, meaning that the objective of both fronts stopped at independence level of the socio political game. ELF was then likely bound to control the Eritrean political life after independence (had it brought it winning the war again the EPLF and the Ethiopians) probably with a better version of dictatorship than the absolute on the ground but certainly through dictatorship.
Based on this thought entertainment, both fronts were equally significant to the Eritrean people in as far as our question for independence was concerned and despite who actualized it; but equally useless or destructive in view of our quest for freedom and democracy.
In today’s ELF situation, a mother should be satisfied and let go grudges if her child accomplishes her mission at the end of the day. The mother should not insist to recycle or re-do what was already done by her child! ELF has accomplished its mission through her child and thus not qualified to stand as a political party with that name and without a program according to the books. Yet, there is another obstacle in the way of this party that severely challenges its democracy oriented contradiction.
Assuming there were about 100,000 Eritreans under the ELF’s entire experience between 1961 (its birth-year) and 1990 (Eritrean independence) and that, many of them have died and many others left it since independence, one wonders how many people may be within today’s ELF political party. As you know, approximation is a function of circumstantial observation and that is all we can do here in the absence of material on the subject matter.
Say that the ELF Party today has about 10,000 members or sympathizers, which is still a huge number compared to the 5 million Eritrean people. Now, this number accounts to 0.2% ((1/500) * 100) = 0.2)) of the Eritrean population. What seems to be going on is that this party which potentially represents the interest of about 0.2% of the population wants to lead Eritrea democratically; yet without a national program. I don’t think the gamble is worthwhile looking at the cost/benefit relationship of the matter because only a miracle can make one a winner in fair election against 99.8% percent of the odds (the percentage of people not represented by this party).
The verdict: With all respect to whoever may be affected by this conclusion, my verdict says that the ELF PARTY cannot be popular in today’s Eritrean reality representing only 0.2% of the population. This number cannot rationalize the party’s drive for political power in the country. Further, its liberation objective neither makes sense nor is it applicable in today’s sovereign Eritrea that was liberated many years ago. ELF with its current name is, therefore, 23 years behind the clock and cannot rationally aim at re-liberating Eritrea without creating a colonizer.Based on these important points and in the absence of the part’s defense on the open I believe that ELF PARTY should reorganize itself under ELF SOCIETY or something like that, sentimentally and permanently closing its dignified case with the people after effectuating the process of RECONCILIATION in post Afwerki Eritrea. Should it choose staying as a party, I suggest it should change its name removing the term “liberation” and join the other seven parties to collectively merge into a single party, still under a common political program but not without. Please stay tuned for my next guest (9th in the list) in this project, the Eritrean Nahda Party-ENP.
Note: I am alternating work between the two projects (this and EGS symposium) and I plan to complete them as soon as I can so that we can move on to the next agendas in line. There is something very important I want to disclose after we finish discussing the two projects and your continuous attachment to this forum is appreciated for better result. See you soon!

aseye.asena@gmail.com

Review overview
24 COMMENTS
  • rezen March 17, 2014

    Hey! Fetsum. You are supersonic! Could you reduce the speed! You are handling two projects at the same time. That would cost you a lot! I wish I could tell you what the judge said to a young man driving a car on a super highway with his girl friend ………. I just clicked a reply on your (I)>>EGS)and now here you are on another and numbering it IIIB instead of IV!

    • fetsum abrahamt March 18, 2014

      Rezen: I have responded to you in my last article and please check it out. Yews I am doing things fast but this is because it took two articles to finish with the ELF and I feel the two projects are time sensitive that cannot wait for one another. I know it is weird but that is why I am throwing things at you, sorry. This will be over soon and I cannot wait!

  • selamwit2 March 17, 2014

    Dear Rezen,

    I am very taken with your observation (http://demo.archive.assenna.com/fetsum-eritrean-opposition-forces-under-examination-iii/). Thank you very much!

    Just like a doctor you illustrated the important characteristic symptoms of a „collective disorder“ – you described it the way it is. (BTW, while describing these it is understandable that you can’t focus on the „collective strengths“.)

    Now i want to come up with some questions/comments relating to the CAUSE and to the SOLUTION of these „collective disorders“.

    1. THE CAUSE (?)

    While you depicted the situation with the audience at „a huge gathering of Eritreans in Los Angeles“ i had an image in my mind from people participating there.
    Precisely i saw a woman in the middle of her life, not educated, maybe a mother of 3-5 – no husband/partner next to her. It could have been my mother, when she was younger.
    (It seemed to me) she had no chance to gain much education – at least not enough for understanding what democracy means, not enough for being politically self-determined, not enough for understanding that in politics is not (only) about „brotherhood“ but also about control and distribution of power.
    And i saw this irritated woman sitting there (with my „inner eyes“) and „fellow-running“ like we do it more or less when we watch sitcoms (you know this very American format with voices in the background giving us clear directions when e.g. to laugh and possibly when to be sad) – pushed by irritation and group dynamics.
    I felt very sorry for her – it made me sad watching here sitting there in front of the „hero“ which will turn out as the destroyer of the home-country , which she misses so much, that she can not live a to some degree „normal“ life.
    Lack of the luck to be „educated“ – the cause of „collective disorder“ in “yesteryear” and today!?

    2. “ERITREAN” (?)

    a) How can we define a kind of Eritrean mentality without running the risk to think stereotyped / to prejudge?
    If i look at my own family members, i see ever single one of us is so different. You have everything: from completely estrangement from Eritrea (in every case!) to almost fanatic (Eritrean) nationalism.
    You can also say, we all have very different conviction or „mentality“.
    So i ask myself, when is an Eritrean an Eritrean? Who of us is Eritrean – with an Eritrean mentality?
    An Eritrea born? An Eritrea raised? An Eritrea-often-visited? An Eritrea born-raised-and-died? An Never-was-in Eritrea but perceived oneself as Eritrean?
    An „Eritrean“ speaking? An Half Eritrean? Or one with Eritrean ancestors (how many generations far by the way?)? An Eritrean refugee (1., 2., 3.generation?)? Etc…

    I am not about playing a rhetorical game with this questions
    but there are so many different kinds of „Eritreans“ (look at the demo.archive.assenna.community)!

    b) In many western countries as a person with migration background, you are in a situation where you need to chose a narrow-defined identity: It is more about assimilation or isolation (parallel society) than integration of migrants.
    It not like in the USA, that you are Italian/Irish/Hispanic and naturally US-American at the same time.
    It is a very different „struggle“ for identity – the societies are more directed „in-line“.
    You have to chose NEITHER you are Italian/Swedish/German/English…OR Eritrean!
    And i have the impression the ones who decided to be a citizen of the country they live in are more successful, make higher careers…

    You said. „It is liberally estimated that there are about three hundred Eritreans of extremely high educational caliber“.
    ‘Would be interesting to know where they live mainly and what backgrounds they have.
    Do they consider their selves Eritrean? Do they feel capable to judge Eritrean issues (as maybe assimilated citizens of the country they live in)? Do they feel capable to stand for Eritrean questions?

    3. SOLUTION (?)

    My further question is: After your great observation, what shell we do? How can we solve the problem? Lay down and die – no, not too long ;-)!

    Running the risk to be considered extremely naive, i assume the only chance we have to solve the mess is LOVE and EMPATHY!
    I read between the lines, communication is your obsession. You know, as long as a person is not as absolutely demonic as iseyas, hitler and co., you can reach him/her but only with empathy and respect.
    If the main problem is lack of education, let’s tackle it!
    I think we should learn from Nelson Mandela (RIP) an Desmond Tutu and empower the good/constructive parts of the people.

    P.S. Today i spoke with my mother. I think she closed her gap of information on democracy and now we together are preparing an internet access and internet introduction for her so that she can participate in e.g. Assenna soon.
    I absolutely prefer being extremely naive than extremely being hopeless. 🙂

  • Zufana March 17, 2014

    Again, the contribution of the writer is excellent and should be encouraged,. Thank you Kubur Haw Mr Fetsum. At this juncture it is not the regime that is delaying the change we badly need. It is our inability to unite across the broad, focus on the bigger picture and stop worrying about who gets the credit that is hampering us. We need to stop taking ourselves so seriously. The salvation of our people is the sole agenda. Everything else is an exercise in futility. ‘The privilege of standing up in defense of our people must be the reward.’ Doing our share to alleviate their massive suffering will reinforce our humanity and reinvigorate our very soul. If we are looking for purpose here it is: Eritrea and Eritreans need our full support – not tomorrow or next year. Today – now. Political leaders, civic activist and citizens trapped between rejecting the regime and not fully trusting the opposition needs to understand that the time for bickering, jockeying and hesitation is a luxury that the neither the nation nor the people of Eritrea can afford. All minds must now be focused on the bigger agenda: how to remove this regime and transition Eritrea into functioning democracy nation. This is the task and the only task that should occupy the mind and heart of everyone. Let’s all make a contribution to the rebirth of beautiful Eritrea.

  • MightyEmbasoyra March 17, 2014

    From Ato Fitsum’s equations, I am sensing some trouble here, at least with one of them. May be he has a solution for us here.
    DSP = YES + ∂(YES)/∂t (eqn. 5), assuming the society has changed its decency (I think some people will agree with this assumption), then ∂(DSP)/∂t = ∂(Yes)/∂t + ∂[∂(Yes)/∂t]∂t = 0 + ∂(NO)/∂t = 0 + 0 = 0. Change of any constant is Zero.
    This explains (at least to me), if your decency is changed, you will end up with nothing. Loosing our decency can be the problem and it might be worthy enough to look at this change.

    • selamawit2 March 18, 2014

      MightyEmbasoyra Hawey, could you say it in other words? You know, i am so glad, that i don’t need to struggle with maths anymore..:-)

      • MightyEmbasoyra March 18, 2014

        Sister Selamawit2,
        Before I can answer you, Ato Fitsum invalidate my theory, by modifying it slightly 🙂

        • Meretse Asmelash March 18, 2014

          Dear Mighty,
          Again, if you think you could have say it in other words–you are welcome. Honestly, when Selamwit2 said, ” You know, i am so glad, that i don’t need to struggle with maths anymore..:-) I was about to say I second you sister . Math was not my favorite subject and for that reason I had to stop when I hit calculus. So, You know …….ናይ ጉዚን/ ወዲ ጉዚን ነገር ተካናኪንካ እዩ
          ……. እዙይ ክብል እንከሎኩ ግን ካባይ ዘይሓልፍ እዩ። ማለት– ሓዳር “ጉዘይ” ንክልተ ቅነ
          ንሱዃ ባዕለይ ተካናኪነ (((smile)))
          By the way good catch brother

          • MightyEmbasoyra March 18, 2014

            Very Funny as usual Ato Mereste. What had happened to our friend Ato Belay by the way?

          • selamawit2 March 20, 2014

            Dear Meretse,

            “Your wards are deftly wrought, but drive no bolts asunder!” 🙂
            This is what i would have said to (most of) my maths teachers,
            but never manged to say it that way, this poet i cited could.

            p.s. as being a kind of “euro-eritrean” my tigrigna reading is a disaster.
            but i am so curious about your poetry that i am very much motivated to improve it!

    • fetsum abrahamt March 18, 2014

      Dear Mighty; I knew u would catch me on this but I used a defense mechanism ahead of time and let me discuss it:
      I said: “Freedom should then be a derivative of or dependent on independence.
      Therefore; Freedom = d(Independence)/dt. (Mathematically it is a derivative of the changes in the quality of Independence in relation to the society per time)
      [by substitution]; DSP = Independence + d(Independence)/dt”
      Although independence is constant because it was YES or NO, the quality of independence in time on the Eritrean issue is not necessarily constant because freedom is supposed to improve or deteriorate in time in relation to independence. A better freedom time after time reflects the change in quality of independence on the Eritrean society in the prositive direction and the reverse, otherwise.

      s.
      Therefore, the quality of independence in time on the Eritrean issue is variable (its effect in time on the freedom of the society is variable) while independence as a one shot experience is constant and its derivative zero . Thank you for this and I thought of the problems you will give me on and at least tried to defend my self ahead of time. I am now guilty with disqualify this with your calculus capacity, I change my plea to guilty by old age induced memory loss! how about that mighty?

  • fetsum abrahamt March 18, 2014

    Correction, please read the sentence as “I am now guilty with explanation and should you still disqualify this with your calculus capacity, I change my plea to guilty by old age induced memory loss! how about that mighty?”

  • MightyEmbasoyra March 18, 2014

    Ato Fitsum,
    Old age induced memory loss excuse wouldn’t work (too young to use it!) but you made my assumption invalid, easily 🙂
    Nice play! Now I conquer by this statement “the quality of independence in time on the Eritrean issue is not necessarily constant because freedom is supposed to improve or deteriorate in time in relation to independence.”
    I appreciate your hard work (as you can see the majority like your articles) and please keep it up!

    • fetsum abrahamt March 18, 2014

      Emba;
      i am sure you are studying hard in an Ivy U to make a difference in yourself first and then us the society. I appreciate you for staying in school and in the forum and thank you. it was a good catch by the way

  • Abraham Haile March 18, 2014

    Calculas verses our solution could they be the final hiccups in Eritrea and looking for elitism, or are we trying to invite DYNAMIC MATHEMATICIAN to come with an answer to help the majority? BROTHER . Finally, is it possible to integrate rather than differentiating to see what happened post independence or in 1991? Waw, that could be it. Possible, who do we think active, my parents and my siblings or my children?

    • fetsum abrahamt March 18, 2014

      Brother Abraham;
      Nice to hear from u after a while and I love the way you put ur words down as usual. We are trying to understand the derivative of our division by means of differentiation in order to apply the theory of Integration in the unification process should calculus mediate us at the end of the day.

  • ahmed saleh March 18, 2014

    After independence we saw promising start particularly from our people’s eagerness and hard work to prepare national
    constitution . In 1977 the one man rule system with majority support from Eritreans in diaspora declared that it
    is invalid for time being . No resistance , no objections but only silence . I think the easiest way out from
    holding responsibility collectively as people is to direct the blame on someone else . Members of ELF or members of EPLF
    were supporters of armed struggle for independence but that doesn’t mean they affiliate themselves with its political
    branch . At the same time I do not see its appropriation to speak publicly out of assumptions in this kind of subjects .

  • Said March 19, 2014

    Mr. fetsum if E.l.f, have 10,000 active member or sympathizer, or so call 2% it looks like thay patter than us we accomplish noting zero zebe socal 99.8 I’m sorry to tel that your verdict is wrong, like I said before you out of touch with reality., but one think I well tall you I’m not fun E.l.f E.p.l. F if this people going to bring a change way not 2% or 99.8%you just write because you love to write .but you not helping, to go out of your way to help Eritrean people you so comfortable, you need get out your comfort zone . by the way you are a great writer, you like that like the rest of them, you number high your number is doing that’s your gig.

    • fetsum abrahamt March 19, 2014

      Said. it is not 2% but 0.2%

      • Said March 19, 2014

        Mr. Fetsum were meeting with vice chairman yohannes asmelsh.from encdc do you have any question for him.

  • Tesfayohannes Adhanom March 19, 2014

    Thank you for the mathematics for not-mathematicians:

    1 people = 1 heart => 3 Mio Eritean citizens = 1 heart = DIA’s heart (as he has 1 heart)
    I = you => you = I
    I = DIA => DIA = I

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