¨Isaias sees problems in independence and does not want to rush and create difficulties for himself¨ late Prime Minister Meles Zenawi.
A vital document that exposes Isaias Afewerki’s hidden agenda in his outlook about the fate of Eritrea is uncovered. It was the late Prime Minister of Ethiopia, who divulged such a vital secret in exceptionally
A vital document that exposes Isaias Afewerki’s hidden agenda in his outlook about the fate of Eritrea is uncovered. It was the late Prime Minister of Ethiopia, who divulged such a vital secret in exceptionally candid interview with Paul B. Henze, former CIA and national security specialist in 1990.
For many Eritreans the still unanswered question is ¨why does Isaias hate the Eritrea people this much, why is he systematically destroying the country? According to late Pm Meles, it is because Isaias doesn’t believe in the very entity of Eritrea in the first place. Twenty three years later when we connect the dots, we can clearly see, where the country is heading. Meles explicitly stated ‘Isaias wants Eritrea to stay as part of Ethiopia, but he lucks the support of his people.’ If that was the case then the people have to be submitted, if not they should get removed from that entity to see that dream alive.
The endless support Isaias to different Ethiopian opposition groups and the change of Eri-tv into unofficial Ethiopian-tv also says something. How long will it take for Eritreans, who support the regime to continue deceived? This is an eye opening document.
PBH: What is your position on separatism?
MZ: We are not separatist. We want a united Ethiopia. But we do not want a centralized Shoan-dominated Ethiopia. I just read the speech you gave to the Eritreans here a couple of weeks ago. I support everything you say. I agree with you that the Ethiopian state is valuable. It should not be destroyed. It should be put back together on a democratic basis and with guarantees of freedom and autonomy for all its peoples, so it can develop economically. Federation is the only way this can be done. We are in favor of federation. This is the only way the damage the Derg has done can be repaired.
PBH: This brings us to Eritrea and the EPLF. How are your relations with the EPLF? Do you talk to Isaias Afewerki?
MZ: I talk to Isaias often. We have no disagreements now. During the 1970s we worked together and had no serious disagreements with them. In 1984 we broke relations. The break was over different understandings of the Soviet Union. They still believed the Soviet Union offered a model for the future and that it could be reformed. They argued that the Soviets were misled on Ethiopia. They wanted to persuade the Soviets to support them instead of the Derg. They thought the Soviet system was a model they could apply in Eritrea. We thought this was foolish because we had learned in Tigray that we had to develop our own model and apply our own system in accordance with our own conditions and practical experience. We watched all these talks where the Soviets tried to use the Italians and the East Germans to bring the Derg and the EPLF together and we always thought nothing could come of them. We were right.
So we had very poor relations with the EPLF for four years, 1984-88. Then we worked out an agreement again. They came to see the Soviet Union the way we did. They gave up their illusions. They saw what was happening in the Soviet Union under Gorbachev . After their great victory over the Derg at Afabet in early 1988, we both began to cooperate again. They have given us help, but we are still a very independent movement. We are not dependant on them. We control all of Tigray now. We would not want to be dependant on anybody from the outside. We won our battle at Enda Sellassie with our own strength. If they had not helped us, it might have taken longer, but we would still have won. But that does not mean that we see everything the way EPLF does. I want to assure you of that.
PBH: What are your differences?
MZ: The EPLF has a much more difficult situation than we do. Many of our differences result from that, and we have an understanding and sympathy for their position. In Tigray we have a united people. No more than 10% of our people are Muslims and our Muslims are Tigreans first and Muslims only second. That is not true in Eritrea. The population is much more divided. The Eritrean Muslims themselves are divided. There are at least three groups among them. They don’t see things the same way the Christians do. The EPLF has some of them with it and its policies have been sensible — it is trying to make the Muslims part of a united movement. But that is not possible and the closer the EPLF comes to taking power in Eritrea the more dangerous this issue becomes. There are serious tensions between Eritrean Christians and Muslims in Sudan. This will become apparent in Eritrea when the Derg’s control is gone. We do not have this problem among Tigrean refugees. They all stick together – the Christians do not resent the Muslims and the Muslims do not feel oppressed by the Christians.
PBH: And separatism – how do you see this issue in comparison with the attitude of Eritreans?
MZ: The EPLF has the problem that the population hates the Derg so much that it has all become separatist. The population wants independence to be declared as soon as the EPLF takes Asmara. Isaias understands some of the difficulties of this because he has thought a lot about it in the past year. But he has terrible pressures from his people. It is a difficult issue for him.
PBH: Are the Eritrean highland Christians as strongly in favor of an immediate declaration of independence as Muslims?
MZ: There are different opinions on this, but we think that the whole population wants independence. They may not understand what it means. These people were once strongly in favor of unity with Ethiopia. The Shoan Amharas destroyed that feeling. The highlanders are getting more impatient than the leadership of the EPLF. Isaias sees problems in independence and does not want to rush and create difficulties for himself, but he doesn’t have full control over this issue.
PBH: What would be your preferences?
MZ: We look at this from the viewpoints of the interests of Tigray first, and then Ethiopia as a whole. We would like to see Eritrea continuing to have a relationship with Ethiopia. We know that Tigray needs access to the sea, and the only way is through Eritrea. Whether Eritrea is part of Ethiopia or independent, we need this access and, therefore, must have close ties. There are many Tigrayans in Eritrea. They are concerned. They don’t want to be treated as foreigners there. There has always been close connections between Tigray and Eritrea for the highland people are all the same. They have the same history. We are worried about Eritrea because we are not sure that differences among different groups can be kept under control. Everything could be destroyed there if people begin fighting each other. When the EPLF takes over Asmara, they will have a difficult job, because they have to keep the people together. Some of the Muslims will favor separatism but there is no strength in unity among them on this issue. The ELF has no active strength in Eritrea now, but it still exists in Sudan and there are many Muslims who sympathize with it.
PBH: I have the impression that the situation in respect to Asmara is similar to that with Gondar – the Derg’s ability to hold out there is steadily eroding. Eventually the city will fall to the EPLF. Perhaps before that happens the Derg forces there will work out some sort of deal with the EPLF. Do you think this is likely?
MZ: You know that during the coup attempt last May we were in contact with the Derg forces in Asmara and offered a ceasefire and collaboration, just as the Eritreans did. We thought we could work out a truce and lay the basis for a new relationship in the region. We could have done that with the people with whom we made contact. But elements loyal to Mengistu got the upper hand. They thought Mengistu could do wonderful things for them. He probably made all sorts of promises of promotion to them. We think these elements still control Asmara and we have not seen evidence that their control is weakening yet. No one has tried to contact us. The EPLF is moving up the escarpment. If they take Ghinda and Embatcala, they can bring up their heavy artillery – – which they captured from the Russians two years ago – – and strike at Asmara airport. That will be a serious blow against Derg forces and will shorten the time they can hold out.
PBH: But what next? Conditions of life in Asmara are already said to be difficult – no electricity, little water, no fuel for civilian transportation, no fuel for cooking. Surely something will have to give way?
MZ: We don’t know. We would like to see everybody get together and set up a provisional government so that this kind of situation can be avoided.
PBH: Would you expect the EPLF to participate in a provisional government in Addis Abeba?
MZ: We don’t know. We think they could play a constructive role. We would really like to see Eritrea retain a relationship to Ethiopia, but we don’t know if Isaias can work out the situation to make this possible. Our own position is very delicate. We have to have good relations with Eritreans, so we recognize their right to self-determination, going as far as independence if they want it. We endorse their proposal for a referendum because we don’t think there is any other solution for the situation that has developed. But we really hope that Eritrea can remain part of a federated Ethiopia. I agree with what you have written about the advantages for the Eritreans themselves.
Read the whole article http://www.esai.org/myESAi/viewtopic.php?t=4269&sid=0ed4c4bf9f4f0f67bee2de680088df72
Sami April 13, 2013
“Some of the Muslims will favor separatism but there is no strength in unity among them on this issue. The ELF has no active strength in Eritrea now, but it still exists in Sudan and there are many Muslims who sympathize with it”. is this idea/movement still on the table?
ahmed saleh April 14, 2013
There are many contradicting remarks hard to comprehend and difficult to judge its validity .
Asgedom April 13, 2013
Isais siad ANEN ELAMAYN it’s clear for everybody.The Eritrean poeple missed everything bcs we r not trust each other and he playing the game to distroy our beloved Country.
selam April 13, 2013
What I find ironic is the discussion of Meles was centered around the muslim christian divide. I thought he was marxist and did not care who is christian or muslim.It is funny that the fear of muslims was real then as it is now.Please tell me how we can ever build a nation based on equality?
Senifalu April 14, 2013
Dear Selam
Leapord can’t change its spot, evenif his thinking is marxist leninist, his deepest belief is always going to be the faith he grew up with and that is Christianity.
Be it Issayas or all the Ethiopian leaders always fear the Muslims as they are the majority in the region and they will do any thing day and night to make sure that they won’t come to power, even if they make their enemy a friend. The mistrust of muslims is deep in their blood.
belay nega April 13, 2013
zerai
“we told you already not to pay, because it is not for the benefits of the people, its for the individual generals who can prostituted with it”
WE,WHO?
THE BIGGEST PROBLEM WE HAVE IS THE MISS USE OF THE PRONOUN we
WHENEVER YOU EXPRESSING YOUR FEELING SAY i,me AND GET READY FOR ITS ACCOUNTABILITY
Zerai April 13, 2013
Mr Belay, i am not pretending like you think, but i am part of the struggle and is contributing my best to support my people from the draconian regime. So i can not use I,Me as you think, i am doing my job with my best people who are real Eritrean wanting peace and freedom.
There is nothing accountability being seeking peace and reconciliation, democratic institution and freedom, the accountability crimes made are people are paying for 2% which is encouraging the regime to oppress our people.
Mr Belay so if you want to be parts the struggle you can come to participate. we don’t force anyone and we say we not ‘ i ,me ‘ because the fruits of justice come from all of the participants not from individual one and so say ‘we’ otherwise you will be count to be silly.
ahmed saleh April 14, 2013
To use the word “WE” referring to his likes in this forum is on its place but it disregard you
and your comparable confused alikes from that category . So have a rest and keep quiet .
belay nega April 15, 2013
“To use the word “WE” referring to his likes in this forum is on its place but it disregard you
and your comparable confused alikes from that category . So have a rest and keep quiet ”
RATHER YOU ARE CONFUSED
YOU DON’T KNOW THAT THINKING IN MASS[WE] IS ONE OF THE CAUSE WE SUFFERING FROM?.
Kalighe April 13, 2013
Iseyas and his group are the enemy. Till overwheling majority of our people realize that it will be too late. There will be so much distruction and damage that will make Eritrea totally unrecognizable. To wait for all that to happen is itself a crime. Believe it or not, Iseyas has never been a nationalist nor a freedom fighter. So what else he was doing ?, well, for exact answer we should have access to Ethiopian military intelligence archives, which at the moment not possible.
belay nega April 16, 2013
kalighe
“Believe it or not, Iseyas has never been a nationalist nor a freedom fighter”
YOU ARE RIGHT P.E.A WAS A MESSENGER OF GOD SENT TO ERITREA TO SHOW US HOW DOES IT LOOK LIKE THE FREEDOM [LIFE WITHOUT ETHIOPIA] AND LEAVE THE CHOICE TO US……..
Fevenn April 13, 2013
Meles foresaw everything. He was so smart. Shame we Eritreans are not lucky enough to have someone like him. RIP PM Meles.
belay nega April 14, 2013
WHAT DID THE P.M MELES SEE THAT PRESIDENT ESAYAS COULD NOT?
CAN YOU ELABORATE?
Kokob Abraham April 13, 2013
Neti hizbina equa eyu nseyitan halifuni hibuna. Ezi deaa seitan ember Seb do koinu . Hade kab ahwatu kedam negiruna neyru. Hiji issayas issayas yibl alekum Edgar way way kitblu ekum eluna
Alem April 13, 2013
If Meles saw the in cohesiveness of Christians and Moslems in Eritrea before independence then why did he tell the Americans in the Wiki leaks file the only effective way to overthrow the Eritrean government is to organized the Moslems around Keru? Isn’t that using the problem to your advantage? Now we know that it is Ethiopia that have a problem with Christians and Moslems not Eritrea. That means regardless of its other weaknesses the EPLF has done a good job in bringing the molems to the Eritrean main stream population. How is Meles’s analysis fairing now?
Harinet April 13, 2013
This dilemma is what led to the 1998 war. The EPLF opted for both political independence and economic federation with Ethiopia; an untenable mixture that led to war. Issias was not unwise in seeing the economic disadvantage Eritreans would face if economically separated from the Ethiopian market. And I believe that his choice, while ultimately unwise, was the best options he had before him (since unity was a political impossibility). With a little more foresight and cooperation the transition may have been smoother, but the inherent need for the Ethiopian market to support Eritrean light industry and Tigray’s aspiration to be an industrial center were at dire odds with each other. So, if Eritrea opted for unity with Ethiopia, they would have had a greater chance at securing the Ethiopian market for themselves. And while the conflict with TPLF would be inevitable, it would have been an internal Ethiopian struggle that the EPLF would have had a better chance at winning. Tough choices… Probably the last time Issias made a major decision based on the wants and desires of the Eritrean masses.
Embasorya The Mighty April 13, 2013
Harinet,
“So, if Eritrea opted for unity with Ethiopia, they would have had a greater chance at securing the Ethiopian market for themselves.”
” ….Tigray’s aspiration to be an industrial center were at dire odds with each other. ”
You are contradicting yourself.
Harinet April 14, 2013
I don’t think I am. In either case their would have been a conflict between the parties. With Eritrean independence the TPLF was allowed to assume all the powers of the Ethiopian state. If the EPLF was a part of a transitional Ethiopian government the TPLF would not have sole access to the foreign assistance that comes with Ethiopian statehood and the Ethiopian population for conscription (who would have controlled the air force? etc…). The conflict would have played out less to the disadvantage of the Eritrean people it that case, since it would have been a internal conflict opposed to an international one. At the least the timing could have allowed Eritrea to ween itself off its dependency on the Ethiopian market. I don’t disagree that the Eritrean economy could have strived under a democratic system, but economic independence from Ethiopia would need a clear comprehensive plan and cooperation with Ethiopia for a smooth transition that democracy may or may not have answered. Of course a democratic system is more likely to answer such questions and elicit support from international actors and neighbors, but Im not sure democracy has ever been shown to lead to economic development itself.
belay nega April 13, 2013
” that the EPLF would have had a better chance at winning. ”
HOW?
Kalighe April 14, 2013
“The EPLF opted for both political independence and economic federation with Ethiopia; an untenable mixture that led to war. Issias was not unwise in seeing the economic disadvantage Eritreans would face if economically separated from the Ethiopian market. ”
Harinet
This analysis is wrong. The EPLF wanted to use Birr to buy goods from Ethiopia because of the immense opportunities given to it, and that does not necessarily mean “economic federation”. I would rather say it abused an opportunity presented to it by engaging in illegal activities (smuggling gold and coffee). It’s true that Tigray has replicated many small scale industries that Eritrea used to have and obviously it started to provide the Ethiopian market with the same goods that Eritrea was trying to export. Although Ethiopia is a big market and it’s important for Eritrea to do business with its big neighbor, either the Ethiopian market of economic meltdown, are opinions of those who knew only how to operate in black markets. The so-called Eritrean government (mafia) is repeating the same mistakes with Sudan.
What is more important here is that, Melles has to say about Iseyas. “He is in favor of unity, but it’s difficult for him, because Eritreans want independence” (paraphrasing). In the past many people have questioned about Iseyas’ motives to join the ELF and some even exposed his subsequent secret meetings with CIA agents and Ethiopian authorities in Asmara during Hailesellasie period. Now we have another proof that his intentions were totally against independence of Eritrea.
belay nega April 14, 2013
“Now we have another proof that his intentions were totally against independence of Eritrea.”
TRY TO DIFFERENTIATE BETWEEN BEING CONCERNED AND STANDING AGAINST INDIPENDENCE
Harinet April 15, 2013
I dont necessarily disagree. Eritrean abuses of the Ethiopian black market were surely a significant factor in leading Ethiopia to declare war on Eritrea. An while Eritrea was not innocent in the affair, don’t be mistaken that Ethiopia’s demand for hard currency for all cross border trading in excess of $1000 birr was a declaration of war for a country that was dependent on the Ethiopian market for 70% of its imports and exports. The EPLF surely abused its power and was misaligned in conceiving that the TPLF needed the EPLF more than the EPLF need it, but that doesn’t change the fundamental dependency that the Eritrean economy and people had on the Ethiopian market at the time. The EPLF market manipulations undermined the TPLF’s domestic political capital and compelled the TPLF to expose the EPLF’s soft underbelly: its dependency on the Ethiopian state and no official role in Ethiopia’s economic policy making process. Its simply amazing that after waging a 30-year struggle for independence there was such little thought put into developing a comprehensive and cooperative economic plan for either the total economic independence of Eritrea (where we are now) or the integration of the two economies.